Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Apple analyst warns political stress might outweigh tariff influence

Apple analyst warns political stress might outweigh tariff influence

President Donald Trump desires Apple to make iPhones within the US. In any other case, he threatens to impose a 25% tariff on the corporate.

Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo believes that, from a profitability standpoint, it’s higher for Apple to soak up the 25% tariff on iPhones. However the larger concern is the rising political stress from the U.S. President.

Apple mustn’t transfer iPhone manufacturing again to the US

Because of the ongoing commerce struggle between the US and China and the uncertainty surrounding the state of affairs, Apple is assembling as many iPhones in India as doable. This didn’t go down effectively with President Trump, who has been bullying corporations into bringing manufacturing again to the U.S.

In mid-Could, he referred to as out Apple for increasing its manufacturing presence in India. “I don’t need you constructing in India,” Trump mentioned. Only a week later, he threatened Apple and different corporations with a 25% tariff until they manufactured telephones offered within the U.S. domestically.

TF Worldwide analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, who intently follows Apple, said on X that manufacturing within the U.S. can be much less worthwhile for the corporate. This is smart given the excessive labour and different related prices within the U.S. It might merely price Apple extra to construct iPhones in its house nation than in India or China.

Extra importantly, Kuo notes that the extra tariffs shouldn’t be the corporate’s greatest concern. It’s Trump’s repeated focusing on of Apple.

Trump’s repeated focusing on of Apple a difficulty

Kuo says, “Apple’s high precedence in negotiations with Trump ought to be discovering methods to keep away from, delay, or stop larger iPhone tariffs. For instance, Apple might modify its DEI insurance policies to safe Trump’s non permanent dedication to carry off on focusing on them.”

Apple can’t realistically transfer iPhone manufacturing to the U.S., particularly inside Trump’s time period. Plus, as Kuo mentions, even when the corporate manages to safe non permanent tariff reduction from Trump this time, there’s no assurance he received’t revisit the risk sooner or later.

Apple introduced a record-breaking $500 billion funding within the U.S. earlier this 12 months to please Trump. However that doesn’t appear to have labored.


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