Monday, October 13, 2025

Walmart Q2 Earnings Preview: Can Retailer Take Share From Goal & Battle Off Amazon Strain? – Walmart (NYSE:WMT)

Retailer Walmart Inc WMT may present market good points in each bodily retail and its ecommerce enterprise when the corporate experiences second-quarter monetary outcomes Thursday after market shut.

Earnings Estimates: Analysts count on Walmart to report second-quarter income of $176.16 billion, up from $169.34 in final yr’s second quarter, in accordance with information from Benzinga Professional.

The corporate missed analyst estimates for income within the first quarter, however have overwhelmed estimates in 9 of the final 10 quarters.

Analysts count on Walmart to report second-quarter earnings per share of 74 cents, up from 67 cents per share in final yr’s second quarter.

The corporate has overwhelmed analyst estimates for earnings per share in six straight quarters and in 9 of the final 10 quarters. The lone non-beat quarter noticed the corporate’s earnings per share match estimates.

Steerage from the corporate requires second-quarter income within the vary of $173.67 billion to $175.35 billion.

Learn Additionally: Retail Buyers’ Prime Shares With Earnings This Week: Faraday Future, XPeng, Walmart And Extra

Key Objects to Watch: Walmart’s earnings report comes a day after rival retailer Goal Company TGT reported quarterly outcomes. Goal beat analyst estimates for each earnings per share and income, however shares fell on steering and total considerations.

Goal noticed gross margin charges decline and comparable retailer gross sales down year-over-year. Working revenue and EBITDA additionally declined within the quarter on a year-over-year foundation.

The corporate reiterated its full-year steering, acknowledging that tariffs are inflicting short-term stress.

Walmart’s earnings report may present market share taken from Goal if the corporate reveals stronger same-store gross sales progress and progress in digital gross sales.

Walmart’s international ecommerce gross sales had been up 22% year-over-year within the first quarter, with the corporate additionally seeing comparable gross sales up 4.5% for Walmart U.S. excluding gas.

Walmart has additionally acknowledged stress from tariffs, however its outcomes could present higher management or decrease impression from the rising prices.

Information from Placer.ai reveals that Walmart skilled a 1.0% go to progress within the second calendar quarter, in comparison with a 2.5% decline within the first calendar quarter.

Walmart noticed visits decline by greater than 4% year-over-year in each February and March, with progress of 4.3% in March, progress of 0.7% in Could and declines of 1.6% in each June and July. The stronger leads to current months come because the retailer pushes for digital gross sales progress. Walmart’s fiscal second quarter consists of outcomes from Could, June and July.

The outcomes for visits information may counsel that Walmart is rising digital gross sales with out hurting its bodily retailer gross sales an excessive amount of.

Whereas Walmart could also be taking market share from Goal, the rising competitors from Amazon.com Inc AMZN may very well be a trigger for concern. Amazon is increasing its same-day supply for Amazon Recent and Entire Meals. Walmart may very well be requested questions in regards to the rising competitors from Amazon in the course of the earnings name.

Some analysts have been elevating their value targets on Walmart inventory forward of the earnings report.

Value Motion: Walmart inventory is down 0.9% to $102.22 on Wednesday versus a 52-week buying and selling vary of $74.59 to $105.30. Walmart inventory is up 13.7% year-to-date in 2025.

Goal inventory is down 8% on Wednesday after the earnings report. Goal inventory is down 29.3% year-to-date in 2025.

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